The Pickering Post
Friday, 22nd February 2019

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Watching Weather Waves, but Missing Climate Tides

Viv Forbes

Viv has a degree in Applied Science Geology and is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy


The climate alarm media, the bureaucracy and the Green Energy industry follow an agenda which is served by inflating any short-term weather event into a climate calamity. They should take a long-term view.

Earth’s climate is never still – it is always changing, with long-term trends, medium-term reversals and minor oscillations. Humanity is best served by those who use good science to study geology, astronomy and climate history searching for clues to climate drivers and the underlying natural cycles and trends hidden in short-term weather fluctuations.

For the last 10,000 years Earth has basked in the Holocene Interglacial which is the latest of many warm cycles within the Pleistocene Ice Age. There are small warm and cool cycles within the Holocene. Today we enjoy the Modern Warm Cycle (which started about calendar 1900) following the Little Ice Age which bottomed in about 1750.

What does the future hold? The past gives clues to the future.

In every warm era, glaciers retreat, ice sheets melt and sea levels rise. Coastal land, ports and settlements are lost under the rising seas but tundra, grasslands and forests expand. Some corals manage to grow as fast as the seas rise, but others are drowned in deep water. The warmth drives more carbon dioxide from the seas, plants thrive, deserts shrink and humans are well fed. 

Then solar intensity wanes, solar orbits change, less solar energy is received by the big northern lands, and the warm Earth radiates more heat to space. It starts cooling.

As Earth enters a cold era, not all of the winter snow melts over summer. The extra snow reflects more solar radiation, leading to even colder winters. The snow-line and the tree-line fluctuate lower, mountain passes are closed, and advancing glaciers threaten mountain villages. 

Sea ice expands, ice sheets grow, lakes and rivers are frozen, sea levels drop and coral reefs are stranded above the water line. The cooling seas absorb life-giving carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and crops fail; deserts expand, humans suffer poverty and famine, settlements are abandoned, empires fall and some species disappear.

This has happened many times before and will probably happen again.

But there are clues to the next big phase for Earth’s climate.

Earth has two natural global thermometers which can reveal short and long term trends – the advance and retreat of glaciers, and the rise and fall of sea level.

If glaciers are growing and ice sheets are advancing and getting thicker, it indicates that average global temperature is falling.

Glaciologists have drilled and analysed many of today’s glaciers. They have been surprised to discover that, outside of Antarctica and Greenland, no glacial ice older than 4,000 years has been found. For example, the Fremont Glacier in Wyoming half-way towards the Equator is only a few hundred years old.

Naturally some of these new glaciers can show melting and retreat during long spells of warm weather, but the mere existence of glaciers today where none existed at the peak of the Holocene warming over 3,000 years ago confirms what other studies show - Earth is gradually cooling towards the next Glacial Cycle

Greenland Ice Core Project (GRIP) –Temperature Reconstruction – “Falling for 3000 Years”

The second natural thermometer is the changing sea level caused by fluctuations in the volume of ice and snow trapped on land, and by the expansion or contraction in the volume of sea water as it warms or cools. Coastal and near-shore locations show much evidence of past and recent sea level changes. In warm eras, glaciers and ice sheets melt, sea water expands, sea levels rise and offshore coral reefs become submerged and drown. Then as peak warming is passed, ice starts to accumulate on land, cooling sea water contracts and sea levels fall.

Even a moderate cooling event such as the Little Ice Age was sufficient to cause lowering of sea level and stranding of port cities and beaches.

A Stranded Beach - Coastline east of Prawle Point, South Devon, England
                 – shows an old beach now well above current sea levels

Earth’s natural thermometers are now flashing an amber warning. The long-term trends point to growing glaciers and falling sea level. These warn us that the warm moist bountiful Holocene Era is past its peak. The next chapter in Earth’s History will be a long, hungry, ice-bound era. Only humans who are good at hunting and gathering or have easy access to nuclear power or carbon energy will survive.

Temperature Reconstructions using deep sea sediment cores. (Raymo, 2005)
From “The Inconvenient Skeptic” 2011 p42, by John Kehr

People who try to create a “Climate Crisis” out of extreme weather events or short-term climate fluctuations (such as today’s Modern Warm Cycle) are like Lord Nelson – their telescope is applied to the blind eye. They point to the choppy waves from summer storms behind the ship, but fail to see the blizzard approaching on the horizon ahead.

Al Gore was right in one thing – warm cycles coincide with high levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. The warmth drove CO2 into the atmosphere, and then the cooling oceans removed it again. Carbon dioxide variations are the result, not the cause, of climate changes.

But never once, over eleven warm cycles covering the last million years, have those high levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide prevented the next glacial cycle.

            “Carbon Dioxide

                        Causes Global Warming
                                    Like Wet Roads

                                                Cause Rain.”

Trying to remove or limit atmospheric carbon dioxide is a futile and costly gesture. Even if it were to succeed, by removing plant food from the atmosphere, it would increase the misery of the approaching cold, hungry era.

We may still have warm decades or even centuries ahead. But even when there is a heatwave in autumn, the winter still comes.

“Summer is Over
            Fall is Fading . . . .
                        And Winter? 

                               Winter is Coming!”

                                    John Kehr, 2011, “The Inconvenient Skeptic”





India's Adani sees six-fold rise in coal mining volume despite challenges in Australia
Reuters | about 20 hours ago |

India's Adani Group expects an over six-fold rise in coal mining volumes by the end of fiscal year 2021, an executive said on Tuesday, despite its struggle to develop a coal project in Australia.

The resources conglomerate is looking to buy mines in countries such as Indonesia and is securing financing for its Carmichael mine in Australia amid challenges from environmental groups concerned about climate change and potential damage to the Great Barrier Reef.

Adani's coal mining volumes are expected to be 80 million tonnes by the end of March 2021, from 12.17 million tonnes at the end of fiscal year 2017, said Sudhir Kumar Agrawal, the techno-commercial head of Adani Ports And SEZ Ltd.

The group's coal handling volumes are expected to rise 57 percent to 127 million tonnes by the end of 2021, Agrawal said at the India coal conference in New Delhi.

The Adani Group, which handles about a third of India's imported coal and is India's largest coal trader, expects a "reasonable rise in imports" till fiscal year 2021 due to "rail transportation challenges".

Coal imports would begin to stagnate from the beginning of fiscal year 2022 as a "significant portion of logistical challenges for domestic coal would have been addressed," Agrawal said.

Thermal coal imports rose by more than 14 percent in the second quarter of 2018 from a year earlier, putting the energy-hungry nation on track for a rise in annual imports after two straight years of decline.

Higher consumption in China, along with rising Indian imports, has been a major driver behind the strong recovery seen in benchmark Australian coal prices this year.

The capacity at Adani ports-operated Dhamra port, located in the mineral rich state of Odisha, will be quadrupled to 80 million tonnes per year, he said.

Classic !

"It's a rant: Enough is Enough"

Tracy Beanz

"This is not a research video. Thank you for letting me vent about this stuff. "

"The NBN risks being relegated to a “network of last resort” amid the rise of 5G mobile services, and a write-down of the massive infrastructure project by the federal government "appears inevitable" global credit ratings agency Standard & Poors has declared.

In a new report that will reverberate throughout the telecommunications industry and in Canberra, S&P said official forecasts for the take-up of the NBN of between 73 per cent and 75 per cent by 2021 will be "difficult to achieve", raising the prospect the government will be forced to slash the value of the asset on its books.'

... here we go, little by little the admissions that the Not Bloody Needed inflicted on us by Krudd and Conroy is a multi-billion dollar cock-up.

new post...

Trader...hope you don't mind but I sent your policy ideas to Cory and ALA.Rcd a nice letter bak from ALA, their policies are very similar to yours but they say that we need the UN for SOME good things still, but we should get out of some of their sub-organisations .

Chinese Military Arrives in Russia for Drills, Brings Serious Hardware
by Global Times (2,024 views) on Tue, Jul 24, 2018
Chinese military officers arrived in Russia on Friday to participate in the upcoming International Army Games 2018. The army will exhibit advanced H-6K bombers, J-10A fighters, JH-7A fighter-bombers, and IL-76 and Y-9 transport aircraft at the competitions. This is the first time that the H-6K bombers and Y-9 transport aircraft have been brought abroad to participate in an international military competition, said a spokesperson for the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force, according to Xinhua. The H-6K is a domestically-developed intermediate and long-range bomber. It has carried out patrols around the East China Sea, South China Sea and Taiwan Straits since its first debut in March 2015, said the Xinhua report.
Read more


Migrant workers to explain to Africans that Coon Cheese can also be bought by other ethnic groups.
Its not solely for them...

Rod Stillwell

4h4 hours ago
“ Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton declares the Aust’n Govt will not be signing up to a major UN agreement on migration “in its current form” despite the fact Aust helped negotiate the deal.”

A country without borders is not really a country.

Obama played the race card. Hillary played the woman card. America played the Trump card.

Donald J. Trump
Verified account

Following Following @realDonaldTrump
huffington is unattractive both inside and out. I fully understand why her former husband left her for a man- he made a good decision.

Prisoners getting their rocks of with the warders, well fancy that!
Members of parliament doing the same thing, unbelievable.
Human nature ignoring the sixth and ninth commandment, de knacker the lot!

A Total of 5 have now been arrested over the acid attack on the 3 year old in Worcester England....Police Refuse to Name them for some strange reason....Any Guesses....It takes 5 what appears to be immigrants and more than likely Islamic, to attack a 3 year old and our Government continue to import them....... . of worcester acid attack offenders&ved=0ahUKEwjl56Kfv7ncAhUe7LwKHTFyCK4QMwg5KAEwAQ&iact=mrc&uact=8

When PETER DUTTON states " Not in its current form "
Alan: “I come back to the question… there is a global compact on migration. Will you or your government be signing it?”

Dutton: “Not in its current form. We’ve been very clear about that.

“We’re not going to surrender our sovereignty. I’m not going to allow unelected bodies to dictate to us, to the Australian people.”

We've had the backstabbing Waffling Fxkwit , Hunt the Runt and The Stick Thing sign the Paris accord after they backstabbed TA ..

Fxxk em , Fxxk em Fxxk em



Jack The Insider: Super Saturday by-elections look second rate.
Voters in five electorates will trudge to the ballot boxes this weekend.
Full article in REPLIES.

MyHealth Opt Out is only smoke and mirrors.
Police, ATO, Centrlink can get access to your health records and personnel info.
Its only a band aid to make you think your health records are secure.
Big Brother is alive and well.. make no mistake