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Thursday, 18th January 2018

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Unsettled Science

Viv Forbes

Viv has a degree in Applied Science Geology and is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy

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We are told by government-funded climate alarmists that their forecasts of dangerous man-made global warming rely on “settled science”. Their “settled science” represents a mare’s nest of computer models, resting on a few match-sticks of science, surrounded by tall forests of uncertainty.

It is indeed settled science that all gases in the atmosphere can affect the exchange of heat between the sun, the Earth and outer space, and this can affect global temperatures. It is also agreed that certain gases like water vapour and carbon dioxide can absorb and redirect radiant energy passing through the atmosphere.

It is also settled science (but seldom mentioned) that the warming potential of each additional unit of carbon dioxide is progressively less, and is trivial at and above current levels. It is also agreed that water vapour has a far greater “greenhouse effect”, because it is fifty times more abundant, and it affects more radiation wavelengths.

However, it is not settled science that the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is the main controller of global temperatures. Nor is it proven or agreed that man’s production of carbon dioxide is harmful to life on Earth, or that it will cause catastrophic global warming.

The official climate models are based on a theory that the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere drives surface temperature changes. However, not one of the dozens of computerised climate models relied on by the IPCC predicted flat-lining temperatures over the last 17 years. This indicates that their carbon-centric assumption is wrong. At last count, there were 53 different explanations for these failures. This is hardly “settled science”.

The models ignore important climate controllers such as solar cycles, ocean oscillations, clouds, vegetation cover and volcanoes. These all have significant effects on surface temperature.

The models also err in assuming most feedbacks are strongly positive, thus multiplying the initial small effect. This again is NOT settled science. If surface temperature rises, evaporation from the vast oceans will transfer heat from the surface to the upper atmosphere, where much of the heat is radiated to space and where the shading from the additional clouds tends to offset and stabilise the initial surface heating. Carbon dioxide has naturally exceeded today’s levels in the past but this did not cause runaway global warming.

There is no consensus. Climate science is NOT settled.

Official climate models have failed to reflect all the interconnected variables of the solar system, the restless atmosphere, the changing biosphere and the vast oscillating oceans.



Comments

We are told the Arctic sea ice is disappearing. It's mid autumn in the north but sea ice is so thick the Russian naval expedition to the New Siberian Islands is taking two Arktika class nuclear icebreakers (the most powerful on earth) to get through.

I am currently in China and am constantly amazed by the vigorous growth of trees and shrubs etc in the cities' parks and gardens as well as the avenues of trees planted between laves of major roads within the cities. If CO2 was the poison the watermelons state it is, would not all this healthy growth wither and die?

'EXTINCT' SNAIL KILLED BY 'CLIMATE CHANGE' CRAWLS BACK FROM THE DEAD
http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/09/10/Extinct-snail-killed-by-climate-change-crawls-back-from-the-dead

JAMES DELINGPOLE INTERVIEWS BOB CARTER: 'THEIR TACTIC IS TO NEVER DISCUSS THE SCIENCE'
http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-TV/2014/07/28/James-Delingpole-Interviews-Bob-Carter

Some IPA Statistics 4 U
1.7 billion people gained access to electricity between 1990 and 2010. For every person who gained access due to wind and solar, 13 gained access thanks to coal.
Out of the world's population of 7 billion, 1.2 billion people don't have electricity.
If wind power was to meet just the annual growth in global energy demand, an area the size of the UK would have to be covered in windfarms every year.

http://c5c5c5.wordpress.com/2011/03/08/the-u-n-meddling-with-religion-1992-earth-summit/

THE TIME: THE NIGHT BEFORE THE opening of the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro. The place: Leme beach. The cast: 1,000-or-so members of a conglomeration of women’s groups from around the world calling themselves the Female Planet.

At one point white-clad Bahian dancers waded into the ocean and invoked their goddess of the sea, Iemanja, to open the minds of world leaders. Later, just before dawn, participants aimed pocket mirrors toward the sun, in order, said Anchorage real estate agent Barbara Huffsmith, to direct “the light of our hopes” toward gray-suited bureaucrats gathering at the Rio Centro conference complex.

Alas, even the weather didn’t seem interested in helping this ambitious environmental conference to succeed. The first rays of the sun hid behind a thick morning haze.
http://www.info.dfat.gov.au/Info/Treaties/treaties.nsf/AllDocIDs/49283F0FE85C9EFECA256B2600000C90

Saw an excellent, unbiased video the other day on this topic. Viv, I invite you to have a look at it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5c4XPVPJwBY&list=PLHSoxioQtwZcqdt3LK6d66tMreI4gqIC-

This article was written by a Geologist (not a climate scientist) with mining interests. I think I'll still go with the 97% of Climate Scientists with no vested interests.

There is some science that is complete and settled and cannot be contested: The proven fact that Labor-type governments around the world are content to lie to the people and regard them as utter morons as a foundation for setting up a method to extract extra taxes over and above that which they get now so that they can waste even more money on their personal wishlists.

GG had the guts to sack Whitlam - let's hope the Judge in this matter has the guts to put JG away for her lies, deceit, corruption - we, the general public know she is lying through her teeth - she should have been an actress - oh, yes, she is - lousy PM - ruined the country - I hope she gets locked up forever.

"Green Lies and the Global Agenda"--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------The Agenda: Using false science to create a "global crisis"


Club of Rome: "In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill..."[1] The First Global Revolution, Club of Rome, an elite think-tank (David Rockefeller, Gorbachev, etc.) working with the UN.



Stanford University Professor Steven Schneider (Nobel Prize winner along with Al Gore): "...we need to get some broad based support, to capture the public's imagination.... So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts.... Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest."[2]

Christine Stewart, Canadian Minister of the Environment: “No matter if the science of global warming is all phony... climate change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.”[3]



The Truth: Climates has always been changing -- 1000 AD was warmer than today



Atmospheric physicist Fred Singer: "The earth continually warms and cools. The cycle is undeniable, ancient, often abrupt, and global. It is also unstoppable. Isotopes in the ice and sediment cores, ancient tree rings, and stalagmites tell us it is linked to small changes in the irradiance of the sun."[4, p.4] Atmospheric physicist Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery, Unstoppable Global Warming



Edward Hunter (author of Brainwashing, an exposé of Soviet strategies for mind control): “The methods used to make ‘learning’ and confession palatable and workable are borrowed freely from … evangelism, psychiatry and science. The language and ideals of each of these fields were taken over and given new meanings and new interpretations in accordance with communist need. Brainwashing is a combination of fake evangelism and quack psychiatry in a setting of false science.” (1960, p.185) ........................................................



http://www.crossroad.to/articles2/007/earth-day.htm

What more than likely happened is bruce sent julair away for a few days while he tackled the bathroom reno, she knew exactly what was going on.

Juliar

SOMEBODY ANSWER MY QUESTION>>
I have asked this same question of the "Climate science brigade so many times I have lost count>>>>>
Around the 12th to 14th Centuries Greenland was actually a green fertile country with relatively mild winters , the same applied to all those cols nasty Scandinavian countries. the whole planet was far more temperate.......
So where the fuck was all the man made carbon dioxide causing all this "global warming"........The planets population was 3 fifths of fuck all in comparison to what it is to -day and the industrial revolution was a frigging spinning wheel to make cloth with.
So WTF caused it ?????? and you call yourself scientists??????

I heard tell that the Attendants ran out of Fire Extinguishers putting out our Juliars daks all the time....Tis true.

What a magnificent cloud picture Viv*.So very strong*.

lol Alan (wink) glad to hear you are considerate*.

Zactly..... Air Polution Not CO2
NOW they can blame the Coal Fires...etc.

Traitor Tait and his moslem wimps are toast.

Also on TV last night;
They are holding a FIREWORKS COMPETITION some place, they showed videos of a smoke filled night sky to prove it..........
er.......
So much for the CO2 and Climate Change eh?
Actually .... the Smoke can't be CO2 - It's COLOURLESS???
Like the Smoke belching out of the Chimneys they like to show us.
OK....
Scrap Climate Change - Introducing - "AIR POLLUTION"

Ahhhh...... MUCH BETTER!