The Pickering Post
Saturday, 17th November 2018

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Larry Pickering

Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.


I copped some flak last week for suggesting that Donald Trump would, "never see the inside of the White House". Well, stand by for Trump’s slide down the polls and out of contention and watch out for the ascendancy of some serious contenders.

US politics is making for scintillating theatre as the selection process begins to determine the mettle of the next President.

The only reason Trump held such an extraordinary poll lead was because of the 17 candidates so far, voters only knew the name of one... Donald Trump! The others were only known within their respective States.

But things are changing as the cream starts to rise to the top and the junk sinks to the bottom.

Trump has refused to say he will not run as a third candidate (an Independent) if he loses the nomination. A third candidate would split the Republican vote handing the Presidency to the Democrats’ Clinton.

In other words Trump is nothing more than a treacherous time bomb for the Republicans and they would do well to dump him ASAP.

Last night’s debate highlighted two exceptional unknown non-politicians, one of whom, if not next year, will eventually take the Presidency.

Neurosurgeon, Carson is a zephyr of fresh air with an engaging mix of intellect and humour but unfortunately he is the only black candidate, and after eight years of Obama, you can put a line through anyone with even a serious sun tan.

The other didn’t even make the main debate and was relegated to the warm-up ‘secondary seven’ in an empty basketball stadium.

Her name is Carly Fiorina, the only woman, and an unknown except in business circles. She is about to be launched on to the main stage with serious contender status. The autopsies seem to have missed her, preferring to concentrate on a clueless Trump.

She cannot win the nomination but she will certainly be on the ticket as a running mate for whoever does, thereby negating any remaining feminine enthusiasm for a damaged Clinton.

A bold prediction? Not really, not if you’re a political tragic like me. This woman is exceptional !

My book:

GRAHAM: Good presenter but shallow. Has a slim chance. 33/1

HUCKABEE: Evangelistic wanker, dangerously right wing. 66/1

GILMORE: More money than sense. 200/1

PERRY: How they made a Governor of this galah is a mystery. 50/1

RUBIO: Impressive but too young. Later maybe. 14/1

SANTORUM: A chance with the Latinos. 12/1

CRUZ: Huge Latino appeal but needs much more of the Mid-West. 25/1 

PAUL: Diminutive try-hard. Always a starter, never a hope. 150/1

FIORINA: About to take off and a likely VP. Watch her closely. 7/1

TRUMP: Will implode spectacularly. Watch for poll slide. 33/1

JINDAL: You’re kidding! 500/1

WALKER: Frontrunner, keeping powder dry for a late finish. 6/1

KASICH: Hometown appeal only. 80/1

CHRISTIE: Boyish Governor. But broken promises and toilet seats. 12/1

BUSH: Wrong name and gaffe prone. 20/1

CARSON: Wrong colour with foreign policy blind spot. 250/1

PATAKI: No. 500/1

At this stage it’s a huge asset to have “Presidential Candidate” on your business card, so the field will fall away well before the primaries.

The Democrats' list of candidates is increasing as Clinton wanes.


Does it really matter... by the time Sep 2016 comes around America will look like a basket case and whether it be Republicrat or Demolicin nothing will change. Personally I suspect military dictatorship to be the order of the day prior to another US election...but hey that might be pushing it a bit far.

Do not underestimate Doctor Ben Carson who, if he makes it and wins the Republican candidacy, is demographically unbeatable. And is better prepared to assume the office than has been any president - ever - including the best-prepared-to-date, Ronald Wilson Reagan! I'm With Ben! -- Dick!

CONTINUED ... I estimate his net worth to be well south of a billion in real terms since he attributes massive value ($3 billion) to the “goodwill” of his name, the Trump “brand.” He takes future projected revenues (like TV show contracts) and calls them assets.

He is no conservative, not even remotely. Rather he’s a populist saying what he thinks will get him attention. He’s a lover of cronyism, a big supporter of Hillary, and in no man’s land politically.

It’s the GOP leadership’s shame that this guy can emerge due to their ineptitude and the voters’ exasperation with them. That said, his candidacy will end like the Hindenburg.” UNQUOTE -- Hard to disagree with any of that. Original ($) at:

a symptom of the cheapening of our culture like Kim Kardashian. He got his start with his father’s money made from subsidized housing projects in Queens, and his father’s ties to New York City politicians. He’s been a crony capitalist from day one.

In the 1980s, when he tried to become a client at Goldman, I and the other senior partners there turned him down because of his seedy reputation and that he was de facto bankrupt. It was the same a few years later at Lazard.

He’s lost his money on these tacky casinos which use just his name for a fee while the bond holders control the equity. He was bailed out by his cheap TV reality shows. In truth, he has no real business other than clever capitalizing on his name. CONTINUES ...

First thing to get right about Mr Trump and that you've Left right out is that he's no more a "republican" than Paul Keating was a pig farmer. Mr Trump's been a registered "Democrat" all his life and a huge contributor to the likes of the Billah-Goat-Blythe "Cli'tons" and to Chuck Schumer et al. And nor is Mr Trump a conservative. Never was, is not and never will be. At best he lives in a political no-mans land and at worst he's an opportunistic populist. A trusted acquaintance the other day wrote this about Mr Trump: QUOTE A close personal friend of mine has a net worth much higher than Trump’s, has known him for many years, and has intimate familiarity with his business dealings. Here is what he tells me:

“Trump is an incoherent wind bag – CONTINUES ...

Fiorina is a dog and she destroyed HP.

Trump will be President. .. even Anne Summers recognises his abilities, .... Trump, ... you can't just wish him away.

Cruz & Fiorina ticket will corral the Latino, Conservative, Evangelical and Woman's vote.

My first trip to Russia was to Moscow just after the Soviet era. I stayed at a hotel called the Dynamo right next to the Dynamo Stadium. It was like being in a 1930’s movie, thread bare sheets but immaculately clean. I was told it used to be the KGB hangout. The two most attractive girls imaginable at the reception giggled every time I walked off. Still not sure why, maybe my western aftershave? What a place it was then, crazy drivers, beautiful women, art, history and culture on every street. My last trip was five years ago, things had changed, Mercedes, BMW, Mc Donald’s and all the rest of Western business hunting for a buck. The people were the same, still proud and forever Russian, no false polite smiles but generous and friendly.

It is a tragedy the West, particularly the US has treated them like a vanquished enemy, we have lost the opportunity to have united with the Russians, they wanted it but were slapped in the face. A new generation Russia is a threat to the corrupt EU, the greed of corporate America and the neoconservative’s quest in Washington for world hegemony.

You are right about Trump Larry. He cannot win because he does not speak from a prepared text. He says what he means, and he actually says what many Republicans are thinking. Sure he makes gaffes. That's what happens when you "speak of the cuff". But his non gaffes are biting. He is telling it like it is - the truth! And that's why he's got no chance. As Clinton, Bush, and particularly Obama have demonstrated, Americans don't want the truth from their presidential candidates. Americans want to be treated like mushrooms, and that's why America is bankrupt and about to implode.


You completely underestimate Donald Trump's appeal to working class white Americans. If it wasn't for Trump, the issue of immigration would not have even been discussed by this year's Presidential nominees. For many American GOP voters, immigration is a 'make or break' issue and yet the Republican Party, and their Neo-con and Libertarian Right arrogantly refuse to acknowledge or speak for their base on this issue. The last ten years has seen a flooding of American borders, and not just from Mexico. Tens of millions of third world immigrants have changed the face of America irrevocably. The US media refers to a figure of 11 million people who have entered illegally but the real figure is close to 30 million. Meanwhile millions of migrants from third world impoverished countries pour in legally every year and the country is transforming from first world nation to third world hellhole, at breakneck speed. Big business can spruik the economics benefits till their blue in the face, ordinary white America is no longer buying it. They can see that this is nothing more than a genocidal policy of population replacement which spells the end to America's heritage in less than forty years. Trump deserves kudos and praise for his courage in breaking the political moratorium of silence on the issue and the white Republican base dont give a FF how many Megyn Kelly's Trump insults and offends in the process.

dusty, it makes you want to weep and leaves a sense of despair to view the link you put up. My first wife was Irish and my second is from Irish convict stock, both are fiery strong women. The NWO has created a softness in western manhood who fear being branded racist more than death, at least the Slavs still have a masculinity that may save western civilization yet.

Dusty hit nail on the head. The subservience of the Poms can be seen in the way they worship the so called royal family. Maybe they need another Cromwell type in the modern ilk to save the nation.


FRACKING NIGHTMARE: 40 Earthquakes in Oklahoma Last Week

IT WAS a bad month for Alan Jones, the mouth from the south whose insufferable warblings on Sydney’s 2GB are now broadcast in Queensland.
Jones’s ratings declined in the latest survey. His audience share locally on 4BC was down to 5.2 per cent.
Jones was also fighting accusations of racism in the debate on the historic China-Australia trade deal.
And just when it seemed things couldn’t get worse, Jones was criticised this week at the royal-commission-style inquiry into the catastrophic Grantham deluge that swept a dozen people to their deaths in less than an hour in 2011.
As if those poor families hadn’t suffered enough, Jones used his radio show to turn the tragedy into a nasty blame game.
Jones relentlessly attacked Toowoomba’s Wagner family for building an airport at Wellcamp near the city.
He has repeatedly told his listeners that the Grantham quarry run by the Wagners had an adverse impact on the flood resulting in deaths.
And he accused premiers Anna Bligh and Campbell Newman of a corrupt cover-up.

He even accused police and governments of a cover-up. The Fairfax shock jock was in full stride on May 25 this year when he told his listeners: “The whole business about Grantham began on this program. And nobody wanted to believe what we were saying. We stated the verbal proof that this was a massive cover-up and the Bligh government was involved and, subsequently, the Newman government.”

Jones added: “Anna Bligh must be made to appear at this inquiry, she has to be called. She has to be made to answer why she allowed herself to be manipulated by police and others to do a cover-up. Who for? Wagner and co.
“You can put Grantham in the blender and swirl it around and around and the conclusion is the same – Anna Bligh and the police covered up the Grantham disaster. Why? Was this to protect Wagner and others?”
However, the Grantham inquiry, headed by former solicitor-general Walter Sofronoff, QC, has not heard a shred of evidence of cover-ups or criminal wrongdoing by police, the premiers, the Wagners or anybody else.
There is a growing sense at the latest inquiry that the quarry’s part in the flooding was negligible – just as the original 2012 Cate Holmes flood inquiry found. Some hydrologists believe the quarry may even have slowed the flow of the “inland tsunami”, preventing even more drownings.
In evidence, Denis Wagner spoke about the hurt to his family concerning the allegations the quarry contributed to the killer flood.
“How has that affected you?” Sofronoff asked Wagner during his seven-hour testimony.
Wagner said his family had been “subjected to some pretty serious opprobrium” over four years.
Wagner spoke of “some terribly vindictive people, particularly in radio media”.

Jones engaged in a scare campaign and his unfair attacks on the Wagners over the airport and the quarry were a beat-up in my view.
The vociferous campaign against the Wagners – to use one of Jones’s pet phrases – does not pass the sniff test.
Neither did some of the media coverage from Channel Nine’s 60 Minutes and Nick Cater. Cater was a senior journalist at The Australian who joined Jones in raising concerns about the quarry and the original flood inquiry headed by Holmes, the Supreme Court judge.
Cater has now written an odd story for The Spectator Australia that features a cartoon of he and Jones smiling as they ride the Grantham floodwater like bodysurfers.

Considering the tragic death toll it was in extremely bad taste.
The headline over the cartoon was pure hubris: “DAM BUSTERS!” it screams, “How Cater and Jones burst Grantham’s wall of lies.”
What lies?
Cater admits the story became “my obsession”.
He criticised some of the press coverage, adding:
“In the end, however, journalism did save the day.

“My friend Heather Pascoe (nee Brown) formerly at The Australian, pestered me to take up the story.” Pascoe was also one of the most vocal opponents of the Wagner airport and coal-seam gas and a close friend and ally of Jones.
In The SpectatorAustralia, Cater lionised Jones: “It’s unlikely the Sofronoff inquiry would have happened were it not for Alan Jones, the unshakable champion of unfashionable causes.”
Now we learn a program on the flood, The Missing Hour, by Channel Nine’s60 Minutes in May this year, relied on false data

In his initial evidence Nine’s chief pilot Robert Ward said the helicopter lift-off time reported in the program was wrong.
The timing mistake undermined the 60 Minutes story, which had backed Jones and Cater’s assertions that the flood was man-made and worsened by the Wagners’ quarry wall collapse.
Ward said he had told executive producer Tom Malone of the error before the program was aired. In a fresh statutory declaration, however, Ward changed his story and said he did not tell 60 Minutes producers of the false data before the show went to air. Sofronoff said it was up to 60 Minutes to correct the record.

The Greens are going to stand a member in the next election in Kelly O'Dwyer's seat. Interesting times ahead.

Shorten and Burke have forgotten that Abbott got a land slide victory. S&B are behaving as though they only lost by a whisker. They have a lot to learn and may be defeated even more convincingly at the next election

Speaking of Polls.Has anyone og you guys/gals ever been phoned to take part in a poll?

So ... Adani has walked away ...

Thousands of jobs and billions of dollars .... up in smoke

Will Mr Abbott have something to say on this ?