U.S. POLITICS AIN'T BORING
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
I copped some flak last week for suggesting that Donald Trump would, "never see the inside of the White House". Well, stand by for Trump’s slide down the polls and out of contention and watch out for the ascendancy of some serious contenders.
US politics is making for scintillating theatre as the selection process begins to determine the mettle of the next President.
The only reason Trump held such an extraordinary poll lead was because of the 17 candidates so far, voters only knew the name of one... Donald Trump! The others were only known within their respective States.
But things are changing as the cream starts to rise to the top and the junk sinks to the bottom.
Trump has refused to say he will not run as a third candidate (an Independent) if he loses the nomination. A third candidate would split the Republican vote handing the Presidency to the Democrats’ Clinton.
In other words Trump is nothing more than a treacherous time bomb for the Republicans and they would do well to dump him ASAP.
Last night’s debate highlighted two exceptional unknown non-politicians, one of whom, if not next year, will eventually take the Presidency.
Neurosurgeon, Carson is a zephyr of fresh air with an engaging mix of intellect and humour but unfortunately he is the only black candidate, and after eight years of Obama, you can put a line through anyone with even a serious sun tan.
The other didn’t even make the main debate and was relegated to the warm-up ‘secondary seven’ in an empty basketball stadium.
Her name is Carly Fiorina, the only woman, and an unknown except in business circles. She is about to be launched on to the main stage with serious contender status. The autopsies seem to have missed her, preferring to concentrate on a clueless Trump.
She cannot win the nomination but she will certainly be on the ticket as a running mate for whoever does, thereby negating any remaining feminine enthusiasm for a damaged Clinton.
A bold prediction? Not really, not if you’re a political tragic like me. This woman is exceptional !
GRAHAM: Good presenter but shallow. Has a slim chance. 33/1
HUCKABEE: Evangelistic wanker, dangerously right wing. 66/1
GILMORE: More money than sense. 200/1
PERRY: How they made a Governor of this galah is a mystery. 50/1
RUBIO: Impressive but too young. Later maybe. 14/1
SANTORUM: A chance with the Latinos. 12/1
CRUZ: Huge Latino appeal but needs much more of the Mid-West. 25/1
PAUL: Diminutive try-hard. Always a starter, never a hope. 150/1
FIORINA: About to take off and a likely VP. Watch her closely. 7/1
TRUMP: Will implode spectacularly. Watch for poll slide. 33/1
JINDAL: You’re kidding! 500/1
WALKER: Frontrunner, keeping powder dry for a late finish. 6/1
KASICH: Hometown appeal only. 80/1
CHRISTIE: Boyish Governor. But broken promises and toilet seats. 12/1
BUSH: Wrong name and gaffe prone. 20/1
CARSON: Wrong colour with foreign policy blind spot. 250/1
PATAKI: No. 500/1
At this stage it’s a huge asset to have “Presidential Candidate” on your business card, so the field will fall away well before the primaries.
The Democrats' list of candidates is increasing as Clinton wanes.