TURNBULL’S HONEYMOON FACES A NEW YEAR DIVORCE
...unless he is smarter than he appears
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
Not since Gillard has an assassin of a first term PM had such unqualified adoration of media. But was it due to their love of the Left-leaning Turnbull or their incandescent hatred of Abbott? Throw an unelectable Shorten into the mix and the rich bloke from Point Piper becomes an instant reason for Christmas cheer.
But Turnbull’s dream of becoming PM is about to become a new year nightmare with a list of urgent shit that must be fixed soon or he too will become yet another PM part termer. So far, he has been skipping puddles and dodging anything controversial.
He has no mandate and has already strayed too far from Abbott’s. As I said here many weeks ago, a new-year snap election (with or without a DD) is Turnbull’s only road to legitimacy. If he tries to bring down a May budget without a mandate, when 44 (now 43) of his own Party members and most of the Nats are still seething, he will have no wriggle room.
The trigger is there for a DD but that would put the Senate offside unnecessarily when most of the swill sort of like him anyway and besides, it’s even possible he could have a workable Senate after only half has faced the ballot box.
There is little doubt, given the Shorten factor, that a snap election would win Turnbull a sizable majority as the hustings could be geared to a philosophical agenda on the back of a TURC report that will be devastating for Shorten. Turnbull with a mandate can then legitimately drag the Libs further Left and the horror budget that has to be, will be the first budget of his three-year tenure where he can avoid the electorate punishing him.
If he hangs on for a September election he will still be in dirty air without a mandate and the horror budget will give Shorten a chance to make up lost ground as the TURC report will be old news.
A snap election will not allow Labor the time to draft Albanese.
We will soon see that Turnbull is no Messiah, he never has been really. His last stint at leadership was a judgmental disaster and his handling of Conroy’s NBN as Communications Minister under Abbot is starting to unravel. It was always a white elephant in waiting as is Gillard’s NDIS and Gonsky... but the cupboard is now bare.
The downside to a snap election is that our new PM will be accused of dodging a very nasty budget... not a huge price to pay for a noted squib who won't even stand down Mal Brough.
Turnbull’s most serious of many challenges will be his handling of the ISIS menace and the Islamic threat here. He has no plan except for tea and bickies for the Clerics, Mullahs and Muftis, after each Islamic “incident”, and they won’t turn up anyway.
Listening to Immigration Minister Dutton this morning would give most people cold shivers. His assessment of Islamic terrorism was an example of naive Government group-think administered by a derelict ASIO. He blandly suggested that Islamic terrorism was not “fundamentally” Islam.
WTF does Mr Dutton think fundamental Islam is then? An international Enid Blyton book club? Fundamental Islam is at the very core of all terrorist activity... it is fundamental to ISIS, al Queda’s al-Nusra, the Khorosan and a dozen other offshoots, the Taliban, Iran’s Shia government and the Saudi’s Wahhabists.
The Turnbull Government clearly doesn’t get it! Islamic extremism is not acquired on-line and a Muslim cannot be “radicalised” or “de-radicalised” on-line any more than serial murderers can be produced and cured on-line.
It is not the result of lone-wolf activity, it is part of a world-wide network of support for devotees who have been indoctrinated in mosques by those who control mosques and Islamic schools, overseen by the Saudis who finance the building of them in pursuit of a world-wide caliphate.
Muslims are not the problem. Islam is the problem! How far are we from understanding Islam when Egypt’s Muslim President, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi himself says, “Islam is the problem and it must be brought up to date”. Well good luck with modernising Islam ... you would have a better chance of convincing the Pope to denounce the Trinity as a load of crap!
A feckless Obama blames US terrorism (or “workplace violence” as he prefers to call it) on lack of gun control.
The Turnbull solution seems no less ludicrous.