TONY COPS A JULIE DEATH STARE
...and now, the end is near
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
And so he faces the final curtain, maybe not today or tomorrow, but he is a dead man walking and he is the only member of the Coalition who hasn’t yet realised it. How it got to this should be no surprise, after all his colleagues told him ten years ago they did not consider him foreman material... “We don’t see you in that way, Tony”, they said. Only Tony saw himself in that way.
His deputy Julie Bishop and Malcolm Turnbull were glaringly absent from his Press Club address yesterday and assurances that he had their support were clearly as unconvincing as was Julia Gillard’s “support” for Kevin Rudd.
The rot had set in late last year when Bishop, fully aware of Abbott’s attitude to “global warming”, defied him, his Prime Minister’s Office and his Chief of Staff Peta Credlin.
The PMO did not want to legitimise the talkfest by sending anyone to the Climate Conference in Lima, Peru that was arranged to set the global framework for carbon emissions in Paris later this year.
Bishop not only went to the Conference but promised a sizable Aussie bona fide of $200 million.
A line in the sand had been drawn between Credlin and Bishop and Abbott was suddenly where no man ought find himself; between two highly ambitious females with needle sharp claws.
But it got much worse than that. Credlin then insisted that the company climate sceptic, Andrew Robb, had to accompany her to, “keep her in line”. Abbott agreed but this humiliating caveat was something that Bishop would never forgive either Credlin or Abbott for.
Abbott had made the fatal decision of siding with Credlin over his senior Minister and deputy. From that moment on Abbott has been on death row and Bishop has had her hand on the lever.
It was the last of a litany of bad decisions made by Abbott. A Prime Minister’s support group must never come between him and his elected Ministry... refer to Kevin Rudd’s isolationist mode prior to his demise.
This is why I love politics, it’s about groups of ambitious people, each with an agenda, thinly veiled by a facade of bullshit. When a politician needs to deny or confirm what should be the obvious, then you can bet the game is almost up.
Now it’s just a matter of who replaces Abbott: Bishop, Turnbull or Morrison. So let me play bookie.
Julie Bishop: Highly motivated and competent, but lacks experience in Government on a broad scale. A Foreign Minister needs to attend an avalanche of cocktail parties, engage in polite conversation, deliver well-prepared speeches and construct communiqués that don’t offend. I suspect even Bishop realises this and her refusal to deny she would challenge Abbott maybe a venomous attempt to clear the decks and allow someone else’s hat to be thrown in the ring. Even geese like Bob Carr and Kevin Rudd managed Foreign Affairs without too many faux pas. Another few years and Bishop will make an all round excellent PM. (7/4)
Malcolm Turnbull: His main problem is lack of support within the Party Room. He is a committed global warmist, a staunch republican, hates Abbott and adheres to everything on the Left of conservative doctrine... one of those people who gain questionable riches sufficient to enable them to become comfortable socialists. Caused himself serious self-harm in the Godwin Gretch affair when Lib Leader in Opposition and split his Party by promoting a carbon tax. (3/1)
Scott Morrison: A longshot but should be a hot favourite. He has presence, confidence, an ability to cut through bullshit and handles an adversarial Left Press with aplomb. A good record of achievement particularly with the hospital pass of “Sovereign Borders” that was handed him by Abbott. Morrison as Prime Minister with Bishop as his deputy would give the Coalition the best winning chance at the next election. (But this is the Liberal Party remember.) 9/10
And I would never have made a good bookie.