SEEMS AT LEAST WE GOT A STAY OF EXECUTION
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
Indonesia does not discriminate... Labor or the Coalition are still hated as Australian rats who should show respect, or at least a tolerance, for Joko Widodo’s corrupt Administration and its slaughterers’ right to kill cattle according to the cruel practice of halal.
This is not about Gillard’s cessation of live exports in response to ABC footage. It is not even about phone tapping the palace or slashing their aid.
Forget what Joyce, Bishop and Abbott are telling you because they are telling fibs. They know exactly what it’s about but they can never say. You see it’s about stopping the boats and what Scott Morrison did to ensure they stayed stopped!
The background to why the Indonesian Administration hates us with such a passion is that we have put them up in lights as a third-world corrupt nation that was taken for a ride to every other South-East Asian nation.
It has been devastating for Widodo and his support base.
To qualify as a third-world nation you need to have cultivated a strong military but you must risk the military coups common to corrupt Administrations.
You must also be missing a middle-income economy that drives growth apart from the profitable State-owned oil, mining and infrastructure facilities.
Without a middle-class economy you are left with the very rich and the very poor who are without an economic conduit to progress to higher earnings. As a result there is rampant corruption at the highest levels and it’s no different to any other third-world country, because that’s the way all third-world countries want it.
Powerful militaries and unsuppressed masses are a dangerous mix to corrupt governments, even "democratically" elected governments.
Morrison broke an unwritten third-world law... he dealt directly with the powerful military and bypassed the Administration when he paid millions to have the boats stopped.
To rub salt in the Administration’s wound, foreign aid was reduced by many millions more than the lousy few million the military received and the cost of retaining thousands more “refugees” stuck in transit in Indonesia was substantial and those costs belonged entirely to the Administration.
Any wonder Widodo is on a retaliatory mission. He needs revenge and he cannot take on the might of the corrupt military without risking a coup, so his sights have always been set on Australia.
Labor still don’t know how the boats were stopped. They swore it couldn’t be done, the Indonesian Administration also swore they would not accept tow-backs,
...yet overnight boats were being towed back to Java without a whimper of protest.
Labor was, and still is, dumbfounded, but it was a simple case of economics for Morrison. If the boats had continued at the same rate, Australia would have been up for $7 billion per annum, now it’s a case of a paltry few million deducted from the aid budget. Australia still pays cash for what it wants regarding boats.
Makes sense eh?
Well it makes sense all right, that is unless you want to successfully negotiate to stay the execution of the Bali two. Or unless you are smart enough to plan for Indonesia retaliating in kind over live cattle imports.
And don’t think it’s finished yet... Widodo is a small man with a long memory and he has the loyal support of the masses when it comes to redressing Australia’s perceived sins.
And don’t think for a moment that an 80 per cent reduction in imported Australian live cattle will hurt Indonesia. Widodo will have had contingency plans in place for more than two years.
Only Australia is the victim in this Indonesian play. It was always coming, but to have forecast this move Bishop, Joyce, Abbott and Morrison would have needed to understand the Indonesian psyche and just how important “loss of face” really is to an Asian.
They clearly didn’t understand that... and they should have! The signs were already there with the curiously futile diplomatic efforts regarding the Bali two and Widodo’s refusal to even take Abbott’s phone calls.
If you want to play in the Asian games, best bring your own ball.