The Pickering Post
Saturday, 21st July 2018

If you would like to be involved or support the upkeep and further development of this site, it would be very welcome no matter how small.


IT'S THE SUN, STUPID!

Cosmic Cycles, not Carbon Dioxide, Control Climate.

Viv Forbes

Viv has a degree in Applied Science Geology and is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy

BLOG



Those who think the political war on carbon will lower Earth’s temperature or keep climate stable need to study climate history.

Temperatures on Earth dance to a cyclic rhythm every hour, every day, every month, every season, every year, and to every beat of the sun-spot and glacial cycles.

The daily solar cycle causes continual changes in temperature for every spot on Earth.

It produces the frosts at dawn, the mid-day heat and the cooling at sunset. It is regulated by rotation of the Earth.

Superimposed on the daily solar cycle is the monthly lunar cycle, driven by the orbit of the Moon around the Earth. These two cycles interact to produce variations in atmospheric pressure and tides, and currents in the oceans and the atmosphere.

These are the daily weather makers.

The yearly seasonal cycle is caused as the tilted axis of Earth’s rotation affects the intensity of solar energy received by each hemisphere. This produces spring, summer, autumn and winter for every spot on Earth.


Then there is the 22 year sun-spot cycle, which correlates with cycles of floods and droughts. Sunspot cycles are indicators of solar activity which causes periods of global warming and cooling.

Variations on the sun also affect the intensity of cosmic rays reaching Earth’s surface – cosmic rays create nuclei for low level cloud formation, and the shading from such clouds reduces surface temperatures.

Earth’s climate is also disrupted periodically by the effects of changing winds, ocean hot spots and submarine volcanism that produce the El Nino Southern Oscillation.

The least recognised but most dangerous climate cycle is the glacial cycle. We are fortunate to live in the Holocene Epoch, the latest warm phase of the Pleistocene Ice Age.

The climate history of the Holocene, and its predecessor the Eemian, are well documented in ice core logs and other records in the rocks. Each cycle consists of a glacial age of about 80,000 years followed by a warmer age of about 20,000 years, with the peak warming occurring over about 12,000 years.

 Our modern warm era commenced 12,000 years ago and peaked during the Medieval Warming, so it is probably nearing its end.

The Holocene Warmth as revealed by the Greenland Ice Cores.

The Eemian Warm Period was warmer than today.

There have been eight warm eras separated by long glacial winters over the last 800,000 years of the Pleistocene.

In every beat of this cycle, the vast ice sheets melt, sea levels rise dramatically, coral reefs and coastal settlements are drowned, and forests and animals re-colonise the higher land released from the ice.

Warm climate animals such as hippos, water buffaloes and elephants got as far north as Germany in the last warm era.

Then suddenly the ice returned, covering the northern hemisphere as far south as Chicago and London, destroying the forests, lowering the seas, stranding the relocated coral reefs and eliminating unprepared species. (Some dopey grizzly bears got stranded in the Arctic Ice and the most enterprising of them survived to evolve into white grizzlies now called polar bears.)

This regular repetition of natural climate change is partially explained by the Milankovitch cycles relating to changes in Earth’s precession, orbit and tilt.

These drive variations in solar energy received by Earth and have the greatest temperature effect on the large land masses of the Northern Hemisphere.

On an even longer time scale, oscillation of the solar system through the plane of the Galaxy seems to trigger magnetic reversals and violent spasms of volcanism, crustal movements, glaciation and species extinction. Earth is never still for long.

These cycles interact to produce a wide range of ever-changing temperatures.

Even at the same moment, temperatures vary dramatically from the equator to the poles and from the surface to the stratosphere.

For would-be climate “managers” to claim they can calculate a mythical “global temperature” with precision greater than thermometers can measure is statistical nonsense.

It is a wonder of the modern era that people who cannot accurately forecast next weekend’s weather claim they can regulate the temperature of the whole globe by bashing industry and taxing carbon.

What is the role of carbon dioxide in climate?

Al Gore did a great job to dramatise the recurring glacial cycles in his widely acclaimed work of science fiction. But he missed two inconvenient truths.

First, ice cores show that in the glacial spring-time the temperature rose BEFORE the CO2 levels rose. Therefore the rising CO2 cannot be a CAUSE of the warming – it is a RESULT of CO2 being expelled from the warming oceans.

Second, at the top of every summer-time in the glacial cycle, the high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere were unable to prevent the cooling into the next cycle of ice.

We are already in the autumn of the current glacial cycle and nothing man can do will change that.

Global temperatures today are lower than they were in Roman and Medieval times.

They will still fluctuate with the effects of daily, lunar, yearly and sun-spot cycles, but the long-term trend of maximum and minimum temperatures will continue drifting downwards.

Once summer temperatures in places like Siberia are unable to melt last winter’s snow, the already growing glaciers will join to form ice sheets and Earth will once again be gripped by another long Glacial Winter.

The transition from Greenhouse Earth to Icehouse Earth always occurs suddenly. Once our verdant greenhouse is gone, life on Earth will never be the same again. Greenhouse Earth will surely come around again, but many of today’s species will probably not survive to welcome the return of the warmth.

The warm days, seasons, years and epochs have never been a deadly threat to life on Earth. Frost, snow, hail and ice are the killers.

If our descendants do not have the energy, resources and wisdom to keep their people warm and fed through the coming glacial epoch, humans may follow our Neanderthal cousins who perished in the last glacial winter, just 20,000 years ago.

There is NO evidence in climate history that carbon dioxide has a detectable effect on global temperatures.

However if our continued use of cheap reliable hydro-carbon energy does slightly delay the onset of the next glacial winter, we and all life on Earth should count ourselves extremely lucky.

 

(Viv has a degree in Applied Science Geology and is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. He is a member of The Carbon Sense Coalition)

 



Comments

And anyone who says that they are Gods chosen people in the flesh first have to prove that they are not of mixed [blemished] blood - Rev. 2:9 and 3:9.

The Khazars which are said to make up 90% of what is called modern Jewry are proselytes of the Edomite/Canaanite Pharisees of Judea and are only related to Judea through their acceptance and adherence to the anti-Christian Babylonian Talmud. Herod was an Edomite.

yes..except these people are not 'jews'..they are some Middle Eastern Mafia derived group which unites under that loaded term, to justify their claims of supremacy..the Christians Churches have been their willing patsies..probably because THEIR hierarchies were hijacked by the same ruthless mafia...I would suggest everyone who is a Christian cease and desist immediately..for your own survival

If the Catholics don’t canonize him [Pope],” Novak said, “the Jews should.”
.
http://townhall.com/columnists/michaelbrown/2013/03/18/the-scandal-of-the-jewish-pope-n1537293/page/full

.
.
The problem did not begin 150 years ago –
.
Benjamin Disraeli, British Prime Minister - "the world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes." ....... "You never observe a great intellectual movement in Europe in which the Jews do not greatly participate. The first Jesuits were Jews;" ......”Coningsby” (pp. 249-252)
.
In his novel Coningsby (London, 1844), Disraeli drew in a picture form the life of the Jews ruling the world from behind the thrones as graphic as anything in the Protocols of Nilus.

yep..seem reasonable..though Trump sounds like he's hedging his bets a bot...wonder who his 'jewish' friends are, since there aint no jews around anymore.....Zionamerica.....meanwhile the Pope Francis produces a little friendly book for the kiddies (while continuing to support Israel, Islam and sharia law and slaughter of Christians...this guys got front, if nothing else)

"......The second notable change is the clear position of Israel against a ceasefire in Syria, against Assad and for Daesh and the Nusra. For long time this position had been obscured by Israeli observers and politicians. Israel has been pleased with Arabs killing each other.
.
Now, as the end of war is seen on the horizon, Israel spoke up. Amos Harel, a leading Israeli military observer with high-grade access, made it clear: “the war in Syria has largely served Israel’s interests. The ongoing fighting has worn down the Syrian army to a shadow of its former capabilities. And Hezbollah, Israel’s main adversary in the north, is losing dozens of fighters every month in battle.
.
Israel has been quietly wishing success to both sides and would not have been against the bloodletting continuing for a few more years without a clear victor” Now, after successful Russian intervention, Israel states openly that “an Assad victory would be bad for Israel” and it calls upon the West “to send real military aid to the less extreme Sunni rebels”.
.
Thus, the will of Israel, and of Israel Lobby in the US, directly contradicts the will of people as it was lucidly expressed by Stephen Kinzer. You can follow the lead of your Israeli Lobby, or you can have peace and security, but you can’t have both, it is that simple.
.
http://www.veteransnewsnow.com/2016/02/23/524358-russians-ride-fast-israel-shamir/

Trump’s kowtowing to Israel shows who REALLY runs USA
.
It's an abject lesson in servitude: America has been fully subjugated
.
So Trump is going to blame Muslims for the covert op designed to launch a genocide against Muslims. How original.
.
Trump has gotten away with questioning 9/11. He has gotten away with blaming the Saudis and blaming the Bush family. But he could never, ever get away with telling the truth: that Israel did it.
.
And that speaks volumes about who really rules America.
.
The Zionists’ dictatorship over the USA, cemented by the 9/11 inside-outside job, was on display yesterday when Trump was forced to kneel down on Fox News and kiss Israel’s behind. As the Jewish Chronicle reported:
.
Speaking ahead of the Nevada caucus, which Mr Trump won by more than 45 per cent, he told Fox News presenter Sean Hannity that Mr Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran had “disgusted” his Jewish friends.
.
He said: “I have so many Jewish friends. They supported Obama and they are so disgusted – they can’t understand what happened, what went wrong.
.
“I think that President Obama has been the worst thing that’s ever happened to Israel.”
.
Mr Trump went on to describe himself as a “great friend of Israel”, an ally on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Jewish community, pointing to his Jewish son-in-law Jared, who was sitting in the audience as he spoke.
.
He said he would “100 per cent” come to Israel’s defence if the country was ever under attack.
.
He said: “If Israel ends up attacks Iran because … they see they’re doing the nuclear, or if it’s the other way around, we have to fight with Iran. By the way, that’s not happening, folks. I don’t care. Deals are meant to be broken in some cases, all right?”
.
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2016/02/24/trump-kowtow/

he New York Post...Two months after the Paris climate-treaty negotiations concluded with fanfare, the world is figuring out it was sold a lemon.

In December, global leaders patted each other on the back and declared a job well done. The treaty will come into force later this year after it has been signed by representatives of at least 55 nations representing 55 percent of global greenhouse-gas emissions.

This will provide “a turning point for the world,” according to President Obama. “Our children and grandchildren will see that we did our duty,” says UK Prime Minister David Cameron.

Climate activists have been quick to declare success. This marks “the end of the era of fossil fuels,” said activist group 350.org. Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Earth Institute, called the Paris agreement a “diplomatic triumph.”

A diplomatic triumph? More like a p.r. coup. The Paris Treaty is rich in rhetoric, but it’ll make little change in actual temperature rises.

Increasingly, that fact is being recognized, even by some of the biggest proponents of climate action.

Jim Hansen, a former NASA scientist and advisor to Al Gore who was the first to put global warming on the public radar in 1988, wasn’t fooled. “It’s a fraud really, a fake,” he said in December. “It’s just worthless words.”

And this month, 11 climate scientists signed a declaration stating that the Paris treaty is crippled by “deadly flaws.”

http://www.globalresearch.ca/countdown-to-the-destruction-in-syria-timeline-of-us-and-allied-interventions-in-syria-1916-2016/5509557
.
http://russia-insider.com/en/history/cia-nato-and-swedish-military-plot-regime-change-sweden-documentary-video/ri12877
.
http://active-democracy.com/news/the-lovely-jewish-history/1021-jewh130-global-trade-was-designed-to-save-communism-in-china.html?utm_source=phplist6&utm_medium=email&utm_content=text&utm_campaign=Global Trade was designed to save Communism in China

Australia the next Tibet ,thanks Scott Morrison

To all those 'progressives' who suffered the heat and the cold to save the planet, guess what? Your so called 'sacrifice' didn't mean shit!!!!

And Lo and Behold .. Another Ice Breaker stuck in the polar ice ...... Maybe that clown Flannery should go down to the Antarctic and blow a bit of hot air around and see if that frees its captivity.

Read the Guardian or Age and you'll see bushfires are getting worse due to climate change. The reality is different. Victorian fire fighting is indeed in a mess and fires like the one in the Otways become major performances due to mismanagement. Additionally the Unions are making a bid to take effective control of the volunteer based CFA. Do some research. I can't speak on the matter here because what is probably a union stooge reports me to the police and her fire organization to try to get me dismissed. Plenty of discussion online but it gets no main stream coverage.

Scott Morrison has approved the sale of Australia's biggest dairy to the Chinese and is about to approve the sale of Australia's biggest cattle station. There is a great difference between selling shares in a company and selling real property. A company may be wound up and purchasing a company is a commercial risk. However, purchasing real property, such as the dairy or the cattle station gives what is known as an indefeasible title, that is ownership forever. So Morrison is actually selling off our country to foreign interests. It is not investment, it is selling our country down the river. The 99 year leases to the Chinese of the ports of Newcastle and Darwin (used by our Navy) is tantamount to the same thing. Additionally the flogging off of infrastructure such as railways, tramways, power lines is no different. The power pole outside your home will be owned by the Chinese. Soon the Chinese will own huge chunks of our country, and with that ownership comes political power. And a year ago this guy was being touted by posters here as a future conservative Prime Minister. Posted by the Flysa Legal Institute

And these fools on the Daily News talking about "heatwaves" in Western Sydney because it got to 38.9 C talk as if it is something new. It has been happening for years and will continue to happen long as the cycles continue. Global warmist scaremongers.

The Waffling Wanker is to announce today updated "white Paper" on Defence. What will all this new costly infrastructure protect ? The new Communist Chinese "owners property". Of course we will have to borrow (as usual) the money from the "new owners" to pay for it . Will the "new owners" have a say in the selection of the new equipment? What a fckn joke ..

From wiki 'The common denominator among all Zionists is the claim to Eretz Israel as the national homeland of the Jews and as the legitimate focus for Jewish national self-determination.[18] It is based on historical ties and religious traditions linking the Jewish people to the Land of Israel.[19] Zionism does not have a uniform ideology, but has evolved in a dialogue among a plethora of ideologies: General Zionism, Religious Zionism, Labor Zionism, Revisionist Zionism, Green Zionism, etc'.just one problem..there are no 'jews'.they disappeared thousands of years ago, along with their claims over ancient Israel, which they abandoned multiple times, entering into Egypt.The Tribe of Judah (and arguably Benjamin) specifically left their illegal occupation ofCanaan to Egypt, and disappeared

".......In short: trillions are at stake for Goldman as long as the "fight" against global warming continues. And as noted above, cap-and-trade is going to happen or "something like it will" - Goldman's future revenues depend on it.
.
In fact, the only thing that can crush this finely orchestrated plan to generate billions in private profits from the mass euphoria to "save the planet" funded, naturally, entirely by the taxpayer, is a critical piece of evidence that the data and statistics behind "global warming" has been fabricated, something which very well may have occurred had Abbott's plan for an audit gone too far.
.
And so Abbott suddenly became a major liability, if not so much for Australia, then certainly for Goldman Sachs.
.
In retrospect, while Abbott completely unexpected exit on September 14 was a shock, his Prime Ministerial replacement should come as no surprise at all: Malcolm Turnbull, as we noted, just happened to be Chairman of Goldman Sachs Australia from 1997-2001 [33]. The same Turnbull who was deposed as opposition leader in 2009 over his support for a carbon tax and an emissions trading scheme [34], a "scheme" that, when fully implemented, would lead to huge monetary windfalls for none other than Turnbull's former employer: Goldman Sachs.
.
So was Goldman the responsible party behind Abbott's ouster? One can only speculate, however one thing is certain: any concerns and fears of "probes" or "audits" into Australia's global warming "data and statistics" are now history.
* * *
ABC's full FOIA revealing Abbott's probe of BoM "data" below:
.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-26/did-goldman-sachs-sacrifice-australias-prime-minister-his-doubts-about-global-warmin

bobl and gent..correct on both counts

SinnFein now runs a black African candidate....the Irish are now fully for homos...the Irish seem hell bent on wiping themselves out completing the work the English tried some time ago.now its voluntary apparently..cheered on by the Catholic Church of course