CARR SLIPS THE KNIFE IN GILLARD... but Windsor throws her a lifeline
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
Bob Carr claims the report is "inaccurate". If it is then one news group and three Labor MPs are lying.
"We have your back Prime Minister", yelled Paul Howes to Julia Gillard at the recent AWU National Conference. It was a prescient yet vacuous assurance in an alcohol fuelled environment.
What Howes meant was that the AWU was fully aware knives had been unsheathed for some time and Gillard, the AWU's creation, was the target.
Gillard was certainly the creation of the AWU but only through the acquiescence of Bob Carr's NSW Right.
Without Carr, Gillard ceases to exist. Thus his appointment.
Time is now of the essence as Gillard's supporters succumb to the inevitable.
Bob Carr, a major player in the corrupt NSW Right and in tandem with Graham Richardson, is a significant defection as it was he who assisted Gillard to topple Kevin Rudd.
It was he, as NSW Premier, who buckled under pressure from Richardson and Ludwig and appointed the dangerous Ian Cambridge to the NSW Industrial Relations Commission.
The "Cambridge Affidavit" is scathing of Gillard and her lover Bruce Wilson.
Cambridge, an AWU General Secretary, at the time was pressing hard for a Royal Commission which would have destroyed Gillard.
Cambridge had said, "I am not prepared to turn a blind eye to these matters..." Later, as PM, Gillard appointed him to the Bench of Fair Work Australia.
Once on the Bench he said, "I don't retract what I said … but now I am a member of a quasi-judicial tribunal. As a member of (Fair Work Australia) it is not appropriate for me to make public statements."
But apparently Gillard's appointment of Carr to the Senate vacancy and the plum Foreign Ministry was insufficient to guarantee his loyalty.
With those who will now fall in behind Carr, Gillard will have insufficient numbers in Caucus to survive a ballot but that does not mean Rudd has sufficient numbers to take her place.
Gillard's fall from dubious grace has begun and without a parachute in sight.
Past assurances of loyalty mean nothing as ALP Members cling furiously to their seats in a last ditch clutch at survival.
Only Tony Windsor came to Gillard's aid.
Last night on the ABC's Lateline he threw a lifeline to his beloved Julia and the interviewer completely missed the significance of what he said.
With his normal bumbling delivery he said (and I paraphrase): "The ALP needs to get its act together. If it doesn't they might find there's an election sooner than they think. There are agreements you know...". Incredibly the interviewer then cut him off.
What Windsor was actually saying is this (and I paraphrase): Sack my Julia if you want but remember it is she who I have "The Agreement" with, not the Labor Party. If she goes so do I... and so too does the Government.
You see Windsor is aware of Carr's defection and an imminent challenge. He was issuing a thinly veiled threat, an ultimatum... "Do not sack Gillard or I will take you all down with her."
He wasn't speaking for Oakeshott but he may as well have been because Oakeshott too has finally had enough.
How could the interviewer have missed such a defining moment? But she did.
A challenge to Gillard could not have happened without NSW factional agreement.
Carr will now marshal those factional forces against Gillard and a challenge is certain unless... well, unless he considers the unheeded threat offered by Windsor last night.
Who can replace Gillard? I don't know but it makes sense that the NSW Right faction will need to placate the Ludwig/Howes faction and that means Shorten.
But will Bill Shorten accept the poison chalice?
Regardless, Gillard will live to rue the day she lured into the Senate that treacherous man who keeps his used chewing gum in his coat pocket.
But she who lives by the sword...