A DOUBLE DISSOLUTION IS JUST AN ILLUSION
... and it has nothing to do with the polls
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
While the ABC and Fairfax goad Tony Abbott to call a double dissolution, the Greens are salivating at the very thought because they could spend the next six years with the balance of power. If Abbott did pull the DD trigger he would shoot himself and Labor in the foot.
Current polling is a reflection of understandable community anger at the budget, and not in any way an indication of how the electorate would vote.
In fact if a DD election was called this year it’s almost certain the Coalition would be returned, albeit with a reduced majority.
Labor would need to change leaders immediately to have any hope as the Royal Commission into unions rolls on taking serious bark off Shorten and his union mates.
Shorten’s claim that the Commission is a Liberal witch hunt rings hollow when you consider that each and every witness who is currently tearing strips off the ALP is a dyed-in-the-wool Labor true believer. Not a Conservative to be seen.
Replacing Shorten with another ex-unionist or Plibersek is unthinkable, so Labor is years from being election-prepared.
In a week or so Abbott can test the fresh Senate waters.The Carbon and Mining taxes will go and he will bargain his way through most of his other legislation, while the Greens smart over their newly won irrelevance.
But you can forget the Left’s background noise of a double dissolution because the real reason it won’t happen is that the Senate would finish up chock-a-block with even more micro mobs... and that’s a nightmare neither major Party wants.
The reason this would happen is that the quota of votes needed to secure a Senate seat is halved in a double dissolution election, ensuring every odd-ball with a single issue a greater chance of warming a red seat for at least three years and six years for those pulling the highest votes.
No, a double dissolution isn’t a possibility, despite ABC and Fairfax claims.