...AND THEN THERE WERE FOUR
Four-time Walkley Award winning political commentator and Churchill Fellow, has returned to the fray over concern that the integrity of news dissemination is continually being threatened by a partisan media.
Vice President Joe Biden’s decision not to run has left the Democrats in a precarious position. They now have one lone candidate in Hillary Clinton who is under FBI investigation (you can forget Bernie Sanders, the Commo bloke) and with an endless dribble of emails to surface from her home server between now and the election she seems a dodgy conveyance ... and the Democrats have no emergency reserve.
The latest GOP debate has sealed Jeb Bush’s fate, he needs to stop haemorrhaging dollar notes that could assist a genuine candidate. Huckabee is hopeless, Jindal’s a joke, Paul is pathetic and most of the others need to get a proper job. Only Cruz, Rubio, Carson and Trump remain as possibles with Fiorina appearing to be a top running mate.
Three separate polls show the unthinkable Sanders beating Trump and Bush by between 9 and 12 points which might be an indication of how far left the dependent Left has drifted under Obama's socialism.
But it’s more important that the GOP decides who can best beat Clinton, and at the moment that looks to be Cruz. The Trump flame is flickering and come the primaries it could well flame out completely now he has written off California, and possibly Florida, with a promise to deport 12 million wetbacks.
“I will build a wall and the Mexicans will pay for it”, he exclaims. Well, there are plenty of ways to make them pay for it, but a wall is no deterrent as he can build a 40 foot wall from Tijuana to the Gulf of Mexico and all the smugglers will need then is a row boat at either end.
If he builds it into the sea the smugglers will get a bigger row boat or make use of any of a hundred drug tunnels at one hundred metre intervals. A bloody stupid idea!
There will need to be some sort of amnesty and then drone surveillance with effective backup unless the US is happy to go the way of a borderless Europe.
Trump is good entertainment for now but few would see him as a serious alternative to Clinton in a Presidential election.
Ben Carson is unusual with a quiet magnetism. Both sexes are attracted to him and so are Tea Party conservatives but he is too far Right to get much of the black vote. He is a fraction naive and has macro economic and foreign policy blind spots (which could easily be fixed of course). It's hard not to like the bloke.
Ted Cruz reckons he’ll eliminate the partisan IRS (it has been caught targeting conservative taxpayers), the politicised Department of Education, Commerce, Energy and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.
The same duplicated Federal Agencies Australia could well rid itself of, plus about 20 more. But unlike in Australia, US candidates tend to carry out their promises when elected.
To win a Presidential election you must be able to attract either the Latino or the black vote, Huckabee’s evangelicals are a diminishing force as all religions are waning in the US except for Islam, and Islam seems happy to hate everyone, so that should even things out a bit.
That leaves Marco Rubio who is likely the best credentialled and politically competent of all but he lacks presence, and Americans don’t like short candidates, particularly when they look about 18. (He's actually 43.)
Only the diminutive try-hard, Rand Paul, is shorter than Rubio, and the taller of two candidates has won 80 percent of all elections during the entire 20th century... maybe times have changed.
So, unless you still believe in Trump, that leaves Ted Cruz. Both pass the height test but Cruz and not Trump should pass the primaries and caucuses test in the new year... and that’s where polling will start to make sense.
So in the meantime I’ll frame a new book: Cruz, 5/4 on
Trump? Write your own ticket.
Fiorina?... Unlike Trump's assessment of her, I reckon she’s sort of yummy, if you half close your eyes.